To: RockinRight
Bush will almost certainly win FL and OH--which means he wins. That said, I'm nervous. Same here. The map at electoral-vote.com also shows Kerry winning. (Bush was ahead the last few times I checked.)
And they show Ohio now leaning toward Kerry.
61 posted on
10/11/2004 4:05:38 PM PDT by
Jorge
To: Jorge
e-v.com is a left leaning site. Chill.
To: Jorge
Electoral-vote.com uses very bad methodology in putting states in each candidates column. Lets say 5 polls come out today and show Bush ahead in a state by 7% or better and all the polls were done over the same time period. Now tomorrow 1 poll comes out and shows Kerry ahead by 1% and this poll was also taken over the same time period as the ones released the previous day. Because the "latest" poll showed Kerry ahead, the site puts the state in Kerry's column even though that latest poll is most likely an outlier. Simply using the latest poll do not reflect how a state might go especially if the poll used is ARG or Zogsauce Interactive.
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