It's all going to come down to turnout. Bush would have beaten Gore easily in 2000, but the Republican evangelical base was not motivated; Florida panhandle voters thought the state was lost after it was called early; and the Demos had a highly effective, two-pronged voter turnout and fraud effort.
Voters in safe Bush states like Texas need to turn out in force this year too so we don't have to endure another four years of whining about the popular vote.
When are they going to figure out that FLORI-DUH is off the map? It broke Bush after the convention and hasn't swung back EVER!!