Date | Prob. Bush Win | Mean EVs | Std. Dev. |
01/21 | 96.8% | 341.5 | 41.1 |
01/26 | 95.5% | 334.8 | 40.6 |
02/02 | 92.2% | 323.8 | 39.7 |
02/09 | 83.0% | 307.8 | 40.3 |
02/16 | 78.4% | 300.4 | 39.4 |
02/23 | 76.2% | 298.2 | 39.6 |
03/01 | 74.5% | 295.9 | 39.3 |
03/08 | 68.0% | 289.2 | 39.8 |
03/15 | 68.0% | 288.8 | 39.0 |
03/22 | 68.5% | 289.3 | 38.8 |
03/29 | 69.4% | 290.1 | 38.8 |
04/05 | 71.2% | 292.3 | 39.1 |
04/12 | 70.4% | 290.6 | 38.1 |
04/19 | 68.6% | 288.1 | 36.7 |
04/26 | 64.9% | 284.5 | 36.3 |
05/03 | 66.3% | 285.7 | 36.3 |
05/10 | 65.6% | 285.3 | 36.8 |
05/17 | 65.2% | 284.8 | 36.6 |
05/24 | 60.0% | 280.3 | 36.9 |
05/31 | 61.1% | 281.2 | 36.8 |
06/07 | 60.5% | 280.6 | 36.5 |
06/14 | 65.0% | 285.0 | 36.6 |
06/21 | 63.9% | 284.0 | 36.8 |
06/28 | 58.4% | 278.8 | 36.7 |
07/05 | 58.7% | 279.1 | 36.7 |
07/12 | 53.1% | 274.2 | 36.5 |
07/19 | 48.2% | 269.8 | 35.7 |
07/26 | 43.4% | 265.6 | 35.0 |
08/02 | 42.1% | 264.3 | 34.7 |
08/09 | 42.9% | 265.2 | 34.5 |
08/16 | 42.6% | 264.9 | 34.2 |
08/23 | 41.8% | 264.3 | 34.5 |
08/30 | 56.1% | 276.4 | 35.0 |
09/06 | 65.0% | 284.1 | 35.0 |
09/13 | 73.7% | 291.5 | 34.2 |
09/20 | 80.1% | 297.3 | 33.4 |
09/27 | 81.0% | 298.9 | 33.9 |
10/04 | 69.1% | 286.3 | 32.5 |
10/11 | 57.1% | 276.4 | 32.4 |
Thanks jdege!