Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Momaw Nadon
There is no need to go through all these calculations, because Tradesports has a direct market whose trading price is the number of electoral votes: BUSH.ELECTORALVOTES. Currently bid is 280 and ask is 286.

Your calculations are useful in one respect: you will show if there is any arbitrage play available between the direct electoral vote market and the individual state markets. However, you'd have to make a whole lot of trades to make such an arbitrage play so it would be time consuming to try it, not worth it unless you were betting large amounts.

13 posted on 10/11/2004 5:09:12 AM PDT by drangundsturm
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


To: drangundsturm

A big player could swing this market. The name of Soros comes to mind.


14 posted on 10/11/2004 5:20:46 AM PDT by gpapa (Voice of reason from the left coast)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies ]

To: drangundsturm

"BUSH.ELECTORALVOTES" has an extremely low volume, making it inaccurate.


22 posted on 10/11/2004 12:06:50 PM PDT by Remember_Salamis (Freedom is Not Free)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson