The most amazing thing is that except for once or twice in totally Dem polls like ARG, Kerry cannot crack 45%. He is stuck there. That portends a Bush 53-46 win or a 52-47, something like that.
True. My hunch is that the MSM and the libs are going to be shocked at the magnitude of Bush's victory.
Provided, of course, he doesn't screw up between now and then. Ind. and conservative Dems WANT to vote for him - he needs to close the deal tonight.
All in all, the polls look pretty good - especially the internals.
Look at this graph. while Bush has definitely passed the 50% average, Kerry has not even on his best days after the convention. Also, note the drop has stopped and Bush has the potential to tonight to move back up.
That's why the AP poll showing Kerry at 50% was so unbelievable.