The last poll I'd believe would be a LA Times poll no matter what its results were.
The fact is Bush did an Al Gore imitation in the debate and it cost him.
Maybe Rove will get Bush better prepared the next time around. Bush has the substance, the facts, and the logic to "gut" Kerry, but he won't use it.
Everybody said Gore won debate #1 in 2000 too. Well, turns out amongst likely voters, he won the debate because he made gains in the polls. One can win on style and even substance, but if the electorate is more concerned about who is the better leader, winning adebate on points is utterly meaningless. We'll see late tonight or tomorrow what the real polls say.
-T