Replies

To: Byron Norris

This original story was not posted under this headline so you would never have found it. The discussion in the threads last night pointed out Newsweek's poll sampling pre and post debate is faulty.

9 posted on 10/03/2004 6:43:35 AM PDT by hobson

I've never once trusted a Newsweek poll. Do you remember their infamous 2002 poll showing Jeb Bush down 20 points in FL ? That was a few weeks before Jeb won by around 14 points.

15 posted on 10/03/2004 6:48:19 AM PDT by EDINVA (a FReeper in PJ's beats a CBS anchor in a suit every time)

This original story was not posted under this headline so you would never have found it. The discussion in the threads last night pointed out Newsweek's poll sampling pre and post debate is faulty.

I followed the other thread before FR went off-line for a upgrade. The first NewsWeak poll showing GW with the big lead was faulty because they sampled to many Republicans and this latest poll is faulty becasue they sampled to many Democrats.

Here's the scoup from another site.

SAMPLE SIZE/MARGIN OF ERROR FOR REGISTERED VOTERS SUBGROUPS: 1,013 Total Registered voters (plus or minus 4)

481 Men (plus or minus 5)

532 Women (plus or minus 5)

345 Republicans (plus or minus 6)

364 Democrats (plus or minus 6)

278 Independents (plus or minus 7)

As you can see they oversampled Dems and women.

57 posted on 10/03/2004 7:04:12 AM PDT by Terp (Retired living in Philippines were the Mountains meet the Sea in the Land of Smiles)

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