It really doesn't matter whether or not they move en masse to the Republican column. If only 5% more Jews (and blacks) vote for Bush in 2004 than did in 2000 it will constitue a landslide victory for the President. Remember, the Dems have cobbled together a "broad coalition" of special interests to win elections in the past. That coalition is now fraying badly, and it may keep them out of power for a generation. I think the good Rabbi's point is that the Jews are *heading* in the direction of the Republican party. I doubt if even he would believe that they will overwhelmingly become Republicans. Let's talk again in 2024 though and things might be very different.
The more Jews and Blacks that vote for Bush in 2004 the better.
It will represent, hoepfully, the beginning of a eroding and crumbling of the Bolshevik base upon which tht modern Democrat party is based.
When he ran for reelection as Governor of Texas in 1998, GW received right at 30% of the black vote. For real. I live in Texas and I know. 30%.
I read all these threads and everyone is so concerned about what a spare 2% of the population will do. It defies reason. Jews are only enough of a voting block in New York and Florida to have much effect on the national election.
Why is everyone so concerned about where the Jewish vote goes?
It must be for reasons of moral validation.
For some strange reason, it seems to matter to some whether Jews support particular positions, programs or political causes. It seems somehow to lend moral stature to these efforts.
After reading some of these threads and the comments of various posters, I would keep my vote private and privileged information. I desire neither the anti-Semitic sneers of some, the ignorance of the few, or the fawning and pandering of others.
Some of the posters have no idea how offensive their comments are both to Jews and to blacks.
Blacks, by the way, are beginning to break away from the Democrat Party too. Middle class blacks are finding more in common with the moral principles of the Republican Party than with the Democrat Party. It is a trickle now, but within a few more elections it will be a flood. Unless, of course, they were to read some of the unflattering and racist comments of some of the posters here.