Posted on 09/30/2004 8:36:26 AM PDT by nypokerface
See my post #5 for the answer.
The Jewish vote will stay with Kerry, this time. He can access their (generally) strong social liberalism, while his very hawkish statements on Israel have reassured those who might otherwise be shaken loose.
But the writing is on the wall -- the Jewish intellectual leadership, particularly on the young side, is moving over to Republicans in a big way. The bulk of Jewish voters will eventually follow, just as the bulk of church-going white Catholics are now starting to follow their intellectual leadership, which started to trend Republican in the '80s.
When he ran for reelection as Governor of Texas in 1998, GW received right at 30% of the black vote. For real. I live in Texas and I know. 30%.
But it won't happen.
My point exactly. We won't necessarily see a sea change this cycle, but it's a comin'.
More Blacks and Jews will vote for W than in 2000 but by no means a majority or plurality.
Actually just about everything on the social agendas of the Left has prominant Jewish lefties at the vanguard from the abortion movement to affirmative action to God out of the public arena to gun control and so forth.
In short, the Left has done quite a lot for leftist Jewish activists. They have gotten most everything they have wanted from the early 60s onwards.....the tide has slowed a bit now but not because they are losing but because their newer causes are so ridiculous.
Dennis Prager: Why jews and black vote democrat: parts I and II
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/dennisprager/dp20030121.shtml
and
http://www.townhall.com/columnists/dennisprager/dp20030128.shtml
Oh, thanks...
I'll check it out.
I don't get much of a chance to listen to Prager but I use to enjoy his "Religion on the Line" program he used to do on Sunday nights...
BTW....I too believe the Jewish vote will be higher this year but still at least 2/3rds of Jews will vote for Kerry.
It really only matters in tight states with high Jewish populations...Florida and Jersey or Pennsylvania maybe.
This type of shift in the black or mexican vote would be more relevant.
I find it amazing how voting patterns are so intergenerational....even myself. I'm a Southern white male. We have been most likely to vote for the most socially and perhaps hawkish party since forever.
I thought you had to be Jewish to settle there and become a citizen.
All I can tell you is that I am a Jew, and I am voting for Bush!
people in the United States have been good to Jews because Jewish power has allowed them no alternative.
I believe these statements meet the current definition of anti-semitic. These kind of statements are not generally permitted on this site.
OK, you're on.
As much as logic tells me that Jews should be flocking to the Republican party and GWB, political reality tells me it won't happen.
Even though a signifigant portion of Democratic Party (black muslims mostly) hates Israel and everything Jewish.
Even though it is the Bible belt wing of the Republican party which holds a special respect for American Jews and Israel.
Even though a large portion of the Democrats secretly blame Israel for our current war on terror and openly advise that the US stop giving Israel such unconditional support.
I talk a lot with many of my Jewish friends and work and they in essense tell me they despise anyone (like GWB) who openly professes their Christianity.
A large percentage of American Jews are very secular and simply don't trust any leader who is not just as secular.
I will be pleasantly surprised if GWB gets 30 percent, but I don't think it will happen.
You do understand what is meant by "Jewish power"?
At less than 2% of the population, he is not talking about power that comes from a voting block.
I would expect this kind of talk permitted in France, but not in the United States.
WAGER bookmark for November 3!
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