He is gonna get his ass kicked up between his ears.
Pingomai
my prediction, kerry comes off as a stiff, orange pompous ass, and bush is a folksy down to earth guy. kerry debates the nuances of his positions, while bush connects with the voters.
This is what Kerry is going to do in the debate on Thursday night
Flip flop for the fiftieth time and go to the Right of President Bush on the war on terror and Iraq
He will say that he will tougher and smarter than President Bush so he will be seen as the tougher guy who will destroy the terrorists everywhere.
Accuse President Bush that he did not finish the job of killing Bin Laden in Tora Bora and Afghanistnan. He will say that if he is President he will pursue Bin Laden and capture or kill him.
Accuse President Bush that he did not finish the job in Fallujah against insurgents and terrorists and this has caused all the trouble in Iraq right now. He will say that if he is President he would have destroyed the terrorists in Fallujah.
Kerry will try to be calm and speak in a Reaganesque way so the audience will be charmed by him.
He will change his position on the war on Iraq at least 3 times and then blame the moderator for twisting what he said... Its his standard...
It was Bush that first said "Bring it On"
Kerry denounced him for it and too up the phrase to mock Bush.
Kerry can't stop his words from wandering for 90 minutes. He will also lose big on the reaction shots, since he has to try to look Human, while Bush just has to be himself.
So9
If he does those two things, which totally undermine Kerry's best points, Kerry is a gonner.
When Kerry whines and moans about the ads, Bush will say a couple of brief words about "being against all of those ads" and a couple of brief words about Kerry's "patriotic service in the military" and then take off from there about "what I'm more interested in is what he's done in the last 20 years in the Senate", and go on to blast his abysmal voting record.
Thus, every time Kerry goes "WHHHAAAA, the ads are so mean to me!", Bush will get an opportunity to repeat: "The real issue is the last 20 years, and how many weapons systems you voted against."
He will mention vietnam at least four times.
At some point, Kerry will lose his cool and point at the President. It will seem petty and suck the oxygen from the room.
I think F'n will do what worked for him in the Weld debates: belligerence. We all know how this will work if he applies this to our President.
I also think he will attempt to be human, smiling occasionally; maybe removing his coat. Watch the eyes, though. They will never match his artificial smile.
And watch the lizard tongue. I doubt he can restrain it for 90 minutes.
PREDICTION:
* Kerry will give a mediocre-to-lame performance
* It will immediately be hailed by the Establishment Media as one of the best performances ever in the history of the world.
* A few days later, polls will come out indicating Kerry got no bump whatsoever.
* The media will then focus on the fact that the next two debates are about domestic policy, which is Kerry's strong suit and where Bush is most vulnerable.
* 12 or 16 years from now, the Establishment Media will liken some GOP candidate's debate performance to the hapless and disasterous performance turned in by John Kerry in 2004.
MSM says Kerry wins. Too easy.
He also tends to repeat phrases like "I have been perfectly clear" or "Let me be perfectly clear..." or "I have one positions on...", when it is obvious to voters that he is not clear and that he says whatever is politically expediant.
Having said that, my prediction is that he will be at least a little clearer than he has been in the past and that the talking heads will say that he won the debate and that they expect him to pull even or ahead in the polls. However, I think he will attack too much and leave the voters with the impression he is too full or gloom and doom, and thus the talking heads will have to alter their analysis several days after the fact.
President Bush will be calm, collected, on message - and win with his grin!
sKerry is a self appointed phony - he can barely do MSM polished sound bites. No way he can last into the late rounds.
All of Bush's efforts are working - domestically and internationally. He'll drive these body punches home all night.
Each debate will cost sKerry a couple poll points.
Kerry's going to contradict himself within the debate.