I agree. I have been following daily numbers by Rasmussen for several months and this is just noise. The rasmussen polls had Bush +4 at the peak of his Convention bounce and Kerry +4 at the peak oh his. There has been a change of one point in the last four days...do not believe Rasmussen or Zogby. Believe Gallup...they have had a long track record in predicting the outcome of elections since the Eisenhower years. Besides, both Rasmussen and Zogby declared about 6 months ago that the election was Kerry's to lose...and now they want to keep it close...This election will not be close..Bush 53% Kerry and the elite media/pollsters 46%
Time: Bush 48, Kerry 42, Nader 5
Marist: Bush 50, Kerry 44, Nader 2
AP Ipsos: Bush 52, Kerry 45, Nader 1
CBS News: Bush 51, Kerry 42, Nader 2
FOX News: Bush 46, Kerry 42, Nader 1
Rasmussen (9/26): Bush 47, Kerry 46
Cortesy Realclearpolitics
Now...which is the outlier poll? The polls should tighten a little bit but after the debates Bush should jump to a significant lead. Kerry will come attack, attack, attack...all Bush has to do is appear likable and hit the Boston Poodle with one liners like: "Is that your fian answer?"