This election is going to be out turnout, turnout, turnout in a half-dozen States.
Voter fraud is the monkey wrench not captured in these polls. The groundwork has already been laid for massive fraud in WI. Similar reports from Ohio. Unless it is a blowout, the Dims are going to export the Florida 2000 debacle to WI, MN, IA and OH.
"The big concern is still "new" voter registrations - And in OH and FL it appears the Democrats have done a much better job at getting "new" registered voters signed up (with the deadline fast approaching) -
This election is going to be out turnout, turnout, turnout in a half-dozen States"
It is always about turnout, but I doubt that the Democrats will be able to repeat their effort of 2000.
Kerry is already having a tough time with the black vote.
Moreover, Bush's base is fired up and ready to vote him.
They see this as an issue of this nations very survivial.
Also, look at the demographics.
Last I saw, Kerry was even attracting the woman's vote.
What Democratic candidate can survive without an overwhelming woman's vote?
He is not going to get the gun-owners
He is not going to get the veteran vote.
He is not going to get the Christian vote.
He is not even going to get all the Democratic vote, which is what happened in the Nixon and Reagan blowouts.
The question one needs to ask, looking at the electorial map, is whose campaign would you prefer to be at this point?
Bush, who is threatening Kerry states
Kerry, who cannot crack Bush's states (Kerry is behind in Ohio and Fl.)