This is a good analysis of the Senate races.
He's a little too confident about Louisiana for my taste, though... Chris John has Breaux's endorsement and though I'm not from Louisiana, I thought that what Breaux says pretty much goes. I'm not confident that we can beat him in a straight-up race, especially in December when we won't have President Bush on the top of the ballot.
And I'll add that Coburn may benefit from Carson going extremely negative in Oklahoma. I saw a Carson ad last night that was childish in how anti-Coburn it was.
The doctor may benefit from it, IMO.
That's what I'm afraid of too.
Vitter needs to crack 50% on Primary Day.
If he doesn't, the defeated Dems will coalesce around their remaining candidate.