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I was a little concerned about today too. Bush had 2 good nights in a row at the begining of the week. One rolled off last night, and the other rolled off today. Doing my math, which I don't claim to be correct. Bush's last 3 nights are 48.6, 45.8. 49.3. Kerry's are 47.3, 47.0, and 44.6. Kerry had a good night on Thursday which rill roll off in Monday's samples. Bush had a pretty good night last night. Based on how Rasmussen does his samples, I'm predicting that the next 2 days should probably stay right where they are, then by the middle of next week, Bush should be back up in the 49's again.

I was certain Bush would be below Kerry today. My last three days are 46.7/45.1/51.9 Bush and 47.5/46.1/45.3 Kerry. Bush need today's polling numbers bigtime. It should keep him safe through the weekend.

Isn't a national poll highly subject to distortion, and flucuation? How can several hundred samples (if it is that large) accurately reflect a nation of nearly 300 million people?

I would much rather rely upon statewide polls that reflect local preferences and trends. Aren't they more telling?