For what it's worth . I have a good friend in NY City who is from Israel. He dad is , lets say , in a position of importance back in Israel. We talk politics when we meet and this guy in nYC is very bright and very well informed. Once in a rare while he'll tell em something with unshaking confidence . We were talking about Iran's nuke project . My friend smiled , pointed his finger at me and said "It will not happen " I replied that , yea, I wouldnt doubt that Israel dosen't try to .." Before I even finished the sentence he again smiled. "My friend , you're not looking at me..It will NOT happen, it is already in the works , come see me in a month and we'll celebrate the big smoking hole in the ground in Iran "..Only 3 times in 3 years has he ever gotten that cocky and sure with me about a mid east situation and all 3 times he called it dead on ..Just passing it on for what it's worth ..
Your friend is likely right.
Israel will never allow such a threat to exist. They didn't in 1981 and they won't now.
I guess the question is: Which way are the Israelis gonna carry this out?
From what I've read over the years, the Israelis have many assets in Arab countries. They had people watching Osirak for months before the actual raid.
Part of me tends to believe that the Israelis would try a large-scale commando raid or would make an effort to destroy the reactors via sabotage.
A large-scale commando raid risks leaving Israelis being captured while in Iran but the risks are large enough that I think Israel would do if they had to.