Posted on 09/22/2004 10:18:27 AM PDT by Pikamax
This is so infuriating.
If true, there's an advantage. It may encourage more work on Bush's end in GOTV.
Of course there was also one from 9/6-9/8 showing Bush up 9 points. But whatever .....
I thought the two Kerrys were neck and neck with Bush way out in front.
FWIW, I think the poll they're referring to is WSJ/NBC poll that's supposed to come out at 4:30 PM EST this afternoon.
HMMMMMMMM, since the race has tightened up nationally I guess all the battleground states were Bush is leading or tied with Kerry are now back in Kerry's camp?
Ditto fire up the masses, make it a double landslide.
This race was BOUND to tighten up. Thats why they call them "Bounces"... I've always said it was going down to the wire, despite the optimism for a blowout here on FR.
I suspect it'll be a tight race, but it's a bit early to conclude that it's back to even.
Just be ready to RIP THE POLLS APART!!!
I can See the FREE REPUBLIC threads now "MAIN STREAM MEDIA ARM OF THE DNC NOW RELEASES SKEWED POLLS TO BOOST DNC MORALE!
Polls suck. Period. They are more easily manipulated and doctored than a CBS gotcha memo.
Nothing has changed, the debates are thing that are going to decide this. And Bush will clean Kerry's clock.
There are Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics
The last NBC/WSJ had Bush up by only 2. Again, big deal.
The MSM insists on a "horse race" because it attracts viewers.
Traditionally, also recall that GOP does not pull away in most campaigns until the last 10 days -- when our advertising wreaks havoc with the sustained nightly bias of the MSM - ie, when people come to their senses.
I continue to contend that, if we are tied or ahead this early, the chances of a big win -- possible landslide for GWB -- are 50-50 or better.
Because the president is chosen by the Electoral College, only the state polls matter. Kerry has not made a dent in the Bush 2000 states (278 electoral votes), whereas Bush is moving up in Gore 2000 states like New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, etc.
Here's my prediction. The polls will tighten up and the FR gloom and doomers will come out of the woodwork. The reality is, we should be spending more time at party headquarters making calls and stuffing envelopes and less time on FR. That goes for me too.
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