FL, PA, OH, and MI. sKerry needs to take 3 of the 4 to win, W only needs an even split and its looking like W could take FL, PA and OH. (IMHO)
I still cannot believe that even 100 people in the entire coutry would vote for Kerry. Having said that, I fully agree with your assessment, but we do have a long way to go. We'll have two debates where the libs will try like hell to spin in Kerry's direction when they conclude, and there is always tightening in the final weeks. I also believe that the press, leftist as they are, also want a tight race to cover and will help by editorializing in their news coverage in the coming weeks.