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Hurricane Ivan - 9/13 thread - Where it goes, nobody knows, still anywhere from Texas to Florida
National Weather Service, via the Weather Underground website ^ | 9/13/04 | National Weather Service

Posted on 09/12/2004 10:54:51 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat

click here to read article


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FYI, the Weather Underground seems to put up the latest updates 10-30 minutes before the National Weather Service website.


1 posted on 09/12/2004 10:54:52 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat
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To: Diddle E. Squat

2 posted on 09/12/2004 10:55:27 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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To: Diddle E. Squat
Beware the red egg:


3 posted on 09/12/2004 10:56:24 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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To: Diddle E. Squat

4 posted on 09/12/2004 10:57:03 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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To: All; Diddle E. Squat
Hurricane Ivan Tracking Page (Updated)

Eastern United States Weather Forums

5 posted on 09/12/2004 10:57:13 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Diddle E. Squat

6 posted on 09/12/2004 10:57:40 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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To: Diddle E. Squat
Hurricane Ivan Infrared Satellite Image
Visible Floater Image
7 posted on 09/12/2004 10:58:45 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Diddle E. Squat

8 posted on 09/12/2004 11:00:00 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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To: Diddle E. Squat

9 posted on 09/12/2004 11:00:32 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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Glad I checked bump


10 posted on 09/12/2004 11:02:21 PM PDT by lainie
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To: Diddle E. Squat

The Weather Channel lady was just saying that they're starting to see the beginnings of that northerly turn they've been forecasting. I still think Panama City - as a Category 4!


11 posted on 09/12/2004 11:03:07 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: nwctwx

Thanks for the links, images, answers, and insights on both threads. Please continue to contribute your thoughts as this goes on!


12 posted on 09/12/2004 11:04:40 PM PDT by Diddle E. Squat ( "History? I love history! So sequential...")
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New to Houston (and Texas).

What are the chances that we will get hit? Should we prepare in any way?


13 posted on 09/12/2004 11:05:52 PM PDT by Miztiki (Living in Hoooston and getting lost on a regular basis!)
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14 posted on 09/12/2004 11:08:19 PM PDT by lainie
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To: Diddle E. Squat
Satellite Loops
Visible Floater Loop (Ivan)
DVORAK Floater Loop (Ivan)
Atlantic/Eastern North America Visible Loop
West Atlantic Infrared Loop
West Atlantic Visible Loop
Northwest Atlantic Water Vapor Loop
Gulf of Mexico Water Vapor Loop

15 posted on 09/12/2004 11:09:33 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Diddle E. Squat

History says Ivan may be headed to Mexico then Texas.

16 posted on 09/12/2004 11:10:05 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.)
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To: Diddle E. Squat
Gulf of Mexico NWS Area Forecast Discussions
Mobile, Alabama : Area Forecast Discussion
New Orleans, Lousiana : Area Forecast Discussion
Tallahassee, Florida : Area Forecast Discussion

17 posted on 09/12/2004 11:10:35 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Diddle E. Squat

tween Cameron and Pensacola....most likely MS gulf coast to Grande Isle/Golden Meadow/Bayou LaFourche


18 posted on 09/12/2004 11:13:05 PM PDT by wardaddy
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To: Mike Darancette

Your graphic indicates 'history' is split 50/50, with three tracks going to Mexico/Texas and three turning north to the Panhandle/Louisiana.


19 posted on 09/12/2004 11:15:17 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: Mike Darancette

This was the history of storms similar to Charley, history is only a good guide when synoptic patterns match what you happen to be looking at in real time.

Unless Ivan slips under the week trough to his north, he will not hit Texas. I'd put the chance of a TX landfall around 5%, that will be lowered to 0% in another 12-24 hours if things play out as they should.

20 posted on 09/12/2004 11:16:22 PM PDT by nwctwx
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