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To: jim macomber

Several scenrios, which somehow link together..The Iranian mullahs aren't popular at home..75% of the country wants them gone, wants a secular regime, and democracy. It could well be toppled in a civil uprising. Also, the Iranians know full well that Israel will NOT, under NO circumstances, allow Iran to go nuclear..So, all the Iranian posturing recently is a misguided attempt to deflect Israel. Iran won't be ready till late 05, at best, to produce a weapon. Therefore Israel can wait. However, since Israel's attack in inevitable, the Iranians would like it to happen before the US election, and before things quiet down in Iraq..Don't make the mistake of looking for, or assuming, logical behavior in the mullah's actions. There's a method to their madness, but, madness it still is..


17 posted on 09/06/2004 11:21:31 AM PDT by ken5050 (Bill Clinton has just signed to be the national spokesman for Hummer..)
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To: ken5050

"Don't make the mistake of looking for, or assuming, logical behavior in the mullah's actions. There's a method to their madness, but, madness it still is"

Excellent, excellent point. And well said.


21 posted on 09/06/2004 11:26:06 AM PDT by jim macomber (Author: "Bargained for Exchange", "Art & Part", "A Grave Breach" http://www.jamesmacomber.com)
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