[AndyJackson]

It is simply not rational to assume the longer view status quo for Russia and China

And who is asuming the status quo for Russia and China?

[SAJ]

The good doctor is making that assumption. His time frame, as repeatedly stated, is on the order of a half-century. Fine, no problem. While Africa, say, may not change significantly in 50 or so years, or South America perhaps, Russia and China most assuredly WILL change, rather radically in my view, over that same time span.