Josh,
A little more about his 2000 disaster, pls. Rasmussen seems very tilted towards the Dems....a lot like ole Z.
Rasmussen's outfit at the time, Portrait of America, had Bush beating Gore, the day before the election, by 9 points... I believe he had it at 49% - 40%
His final polls had Bush up by around 10 in 2000.
He's clearly scared to death to open up a huge lead for either Candidate.. I figured Kerry to be up about 6 after his Convention and Rasmussen was scared to give him anything more than 3 or 4.
I figure Bush was up atleast 8 after this one, and he's scared to give him more than 4.
Has anyone ever been polled by Rasmussen? I am extremely suspicious of this guy.. He claims he's calling 10s of thousands of people every month, and nobody has any info on this?
I have real questions on where he gets the funding to do this kind of polling. Calling 1000 people a day for 3 months straight is a very expensive endeavour. Not even mentioning the cost of the phone calls, but the cost of employees to conduct all of these calls.
Personally I think Rasmussen is a fraud, but other than gut feeling and circumstantial stuff, I have no hard evidence to back it up.
In 2000, Rasmussen had Bush substantially leading Gore on the night before the election. IIRC it was more than five points. During the weekend before the election, when all the other polls showed Gore closing fast in the wake of the DUI story, Rasmussen had Bush pulling away.
Anyway, it is strange that he is not picking up the huge movement to Bush that the other polls -- as well as both campaigns -- are picking up.