While I'm not sure about RASS polls - in how accurate they are - I think his numbers of one of a group we need to look at -
With that said, the reason the NewsWeek poll had such a drastic change was because of how they fudged with their "weightings" to some degree (Newsweek polls are junk...they are right up there with CBS polls) -
I think even the Times/CNN poll fudged with the weigthings a little to make such a drastic change appear -
The fact is that GWB definitely got a bounce out of his convention - However, it is doubtful that we have a 10 pt lead at this time either - (probably around 5 to 8)
Food for though. If the media is biased, and the media has an agenda, and the media uses their front page reporting to forward their agenda, wouldn't the polling conducted by those organizations be suspect as well?
If I were the head of CNN, Time, Newsweek, or the like, wouldn't I use my polls in the same way that I use my reporting?
I can't wrap my mind around some vast conspiracy theories where showing a big bounce for Bush really helps Kerry in the long run. But seriously, if I don't trust these guys to give me the straight story on national events, why would I trust their polls?