One item to note, though... If Ras is right, then a good number of people were turned off by Bush's speech... There wasn't a whole lot that was new, and Mon-Wed, we were exposed to GOP stars... It's just possible that people saw Bush again, and thought back to everything they've heard about him the past year (various 527s, Kennedy, Dem candidates) and many of those lies have stuck...
Unlikely, but possible.
Gotta hand it to him...funding ESPN with a cash advance on a credit card...pretty damn impressive.
Anyway...
I don't agree people were turned off by Bush's speech. In fact only 2/3 of the nights were after Bush's speech. The other 1/3 was Zell Miller's night where I think the party had it's worse night of the convention but not bad. It could have turned off some independent voters.
The fundamental question in this election comes down to one simple question--
Do you believe the war on terror is a real war, with serious consequences and one America needs to win regardless of cost, effort etc...OR
Do you believe the war on terror has been exaggerated...and should be fought using intelligence and take the terrorists to court etc...
The first group are the Bush voters and will vote Bush regardless of any other issue they may disagree with Bush on.
The second group are the Kerry voters and will vote Kerry regardless of their impression of Kerry or where they "think" he stands on the issues.
I think 54% (or more) of the voters are in the first group and 46% (or less) of the voters are in the second group. And it will also reflect in the electoral college/
Agree - GWB looks to be up around 5 to 7 pts -
And I can't agree with the notion that people were turned off by the GWB speech - He was wonderful...and the more people see GWB.....the more they like him - (happens everytime he puts himself in front of the public) -
That would have been reflected in the numbers on Saturday as well. It wasn't. In fact, Friday's numbers show a significant gain for Bush.