Then the Time poll is als BS right? Look Rassmusen has GW up by 4 today. That number reflects only 1/3 of those that have seen Bush's speech. In this(newsweek) poll those that saw GW's speech the "bounce was even greater, IN FACT the sample prior to GW's speech was only about a 5 point bounce. Now if by tomorrow when 2 out of three of the rolling samples include Bush's speech then GW should be up about 6 to 8 points and by Monday when the polling sample is truly post convention then GW may very well be up by 10 in the Rassmisan poll. I have a strong feeling that Bush really connected with his speech and both the Time and Newsweek polls are more accurate than you may think. I will wait to see Rassmusans poll tomorrow before popping the "bounce" cork.
Time isn't as far as I know, though I have not seen the sampling for that poll.
I do believe Bush got a bigger bounce than most predicted.