[NYC Republican]

If you used more realistic figures, like D-38%/R-35%/I-27% (which was about the ratio voting in the '00 election), and use the same percentages, the vote tally would be:

Bush/Cheney - 50%

Skerry/BreckGirlSilkPony - 43%

Still a nice bump, but not the amount being reported by Newsweek.

[goldstategop]

The Newsweek figures are valid if you assume a huge GOP turnout. The Democrats turned out in 2000 because they had a feeling Algore had it in the bag. You don't get the sense they really love The Lurch. Let's hope their turnout stays deeply depressed on Election Day.