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My 2 cents: Don't get mad @ me, get Glade.
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Right now W's average approval ratings is 49.2% from last 10 polls (Dem/GOP don't count). The max W will get over his average approval rating is 0.5%.

So: If the election were held today, the approx election results would be.

W/O Nader
Bush 49.7%
Kerry 49.3%
Others 1.0%

Bush 49.7%
Kerry 48.3%
Nader 1.2%
Others 0.8%

MOE+/-1%



20 posted on 09/02/2004 2:34:06 PM PDT by KQQL
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To: KQQL
KQQL:

Did you ever explain why you revised the amount of the vote W would get above his approval rating down from 1.5% to 0.5%? If you did, I missed it, and I have been curious.

Thanks.

21 posted on 09/02/2004 2:37:54 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: KQQL

Nader's votes are not all coming from Kerry. At least 1/3 come from Bush. In some polls it is 50/50.


22 posted on 09/02/2004 2:38:10 PM PDT by justshutupandtakeit (My Father was 10x the hero John Fraud Kerry is.)
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To: KQQL

do you include Economist in those numbers?


30 posted on 09/02/2004 2:49:39 PM PDT by ambrose (http://www.swiftvets.com/)
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