ARG POLL: Kerry and Bush Remain Tied (Bush 47% Kerry 47% Nader 3%) Bush JA @ 45%

americanresearchgroup ^ | 09/02/04 | americanresearchgroup

[POA2]

Don't know, I don't have the internals of those polls just the raw numbers.. They are clearly a Democratic Push Poll.

I agree with you on the history of ARG - But how would they go about saucing this poll....without adjusting the weightings? - Usually it is done in the weightings process - Yet the weightings on this poll look fine ???

[Josh in PA]

It may be in the way they asked the question.

I can't explain why they are historically way off.

[POA2]

It may be in the way they asked the question.

I would agree with that...for say approval rating...and for like ratings on issues....but not for the horse race question -

There really isn't two ways to ask that question -

But anyway...regardless I agree ARG is probably off - I just wish I could figure out a logical reason for why -

[Josh in PA]

occam's Razor?


They are intentionally fudging the numbers