[alancarp]

Just stand by - while the Andrew Path scenario is alive and well (Miami to New Orleans), there's another one still equally likely: a slow-down as Frances approaches could portend a turn straight up the coast (a la Floyd's path).

[weatherFrEaK]

there's another one still equally likely: a slow-down as Frances approaches could portend a turn straight up the coast (a la Floyd's path)

Not going to happen this time. There will be no Florida-saving trough to pick her up and away this time. The closest trough will be over on the NW coast of the USA. In fact, if it slows, it is more likely to bend back to the west this time.