I'm really worried about Ohio.
I used to live there. My family still does. I constantly get gripes about Bush when I talk to my family.
They seem to blame him and the Republican leadership of the state about how crappy the economy is there.
Offshoring and outsourcing are big issues in Ohio. Kerry is going to be a MESS. We need to get the message out.
I agree with you - OH is very tight - The economy is by far the number one issue in OH -
The GWB team needs to start getting positive economy ads on the air in OH - Now!! - The premise on the economy needs to be set -
The people of OH are very patriotic and this will surly help GWB - But the economy really has been struggling there and gas prices are way up also -
If GWB wins OH and FL I can't see him losing - Kerry has to take one of these and OH looks to be a better shot for him then FL - (that is also why you see the media trying to spin OH for Kerry at every opportunity) -
Ohio always gets screwed with regards to jobs and it has nothing to do with W. It seems like when a nationwide company with one of its 9 plants in Ohio closes a plant, its the one in Ohio that closes.
That said, I think W will win Ohio, by about 2 pts.
Get a new family [grin].
I live here. It's close.
Jobs is one issue...but unemployment is not that high. About 6% last I checked. That means employment is at 94%. Reagan won a landslide in Ohio with about a 7.1% ue rate.
Also, Social conservatism is big in this state....there should be some consolation in that. Except for the Columbus/Cleveland corridor this is a mix of conservative Catholic and conservative Bible Belt.
Emphasize the positive, emphasize the social issues, emphasize patriotism, and organize. Those things will carry Ohio.