I just posted this yesterday on another thread. My how things have changed.
Including the blue-red flip-flop.
Posted on 08/29/2004 7:31:11 PM PDT by Dales
Getting better ping.
Another great article
Good evening.....four threads earlier has Bush ahead 300-238..
BTW...as a "quality assurance test"..one week you should put Massachusets in the Bush column..see if anybody notices it...
Indeed it is getting better and with a 51% approval rating, we're in a good position at the start of the convention. Many predict a slight bump due to the small number of undecideds. At this point, any bump is welcomed.
President Ford ended up with 48% in 1976, not 44 as this article states.
Though I'd put WI in the toss-up and move CO in the slight GWB at this point -
I just posted this yesterday on another thread. My how things have changed.
Including the blue-red flip-flop.
I don't recall Reagan running in 1976. Am I missing something?
Ugh! This looks horrendous to me. What a sour note to end on prior to retiring for the night. Maybe next week after the RNC is over, you will have some better news.
A Republican elector voted for Reagan instead of Ford.
Your analysis is very good.
Thanks for yeoman's work.
After the NY Convention and the first debate I believe the trends established (either way) will be very hard to reverse for either party unless Bush or Kerry has a meltdown second debate or some unforeseen occurance happens before Nov 2nd.
Thanks for the clarification.
Everybody else seems to refer to the conservative states as the red states, but you render them in blue. It is quite confusing.
IIRC, Reagan had a lot of write-ins or something to put him on the radar.
Fun to entertain though - if Carter had not ever been elected how that would have changed history?
You did a LOT of work on this Dale.
Thank you.
Much appreciated
and I mean that sincerely.
Looks to me like the election will be decided in Ohio and Pennsylvania. Either and those leaning Bush are enough. Looks quite do-able to me. I wouldn't be surprised by a final Bush electoral vote count around 310.
You are correct, and you have it how it is on my yellow pad. I typed it wrong. Mea culpa.
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