The guy from Daly Thoughts is a fellow freeper. He's got a very specific methodology that he has to follow, which is why there are states that will probably go Bush that are still in the toss-up or Kerry bin. He usually won't move a state for an outlying poll if it looks like it might be an anomoly. He's definately not trying to spin this for Kerry.
thanks, i just read his expanation. That makes sense.