If Keyes is beaten by less than 30% my jaw would hit the ground in suprise, he's going to get pasted.
So you're predicting 65-35. I would opine that Keyes getting 35% of the vote would be a major victory in the battle to establish conservative in-roads to the minority communities. Yes, it would still be a loss, but it would represent the gaining of a toe hold on the liberalism which is destroying minority communities.
The road to Berlin started with a few brave guys establishing a beachhead at Normandy. I hope that the Republican National leadership has the brains to pump in every available dollar to the Keyes campaign.
We must all understand that if African Americans return to the party which freed them (and which cast the deciding votes in the Civil Rights Act), the democrat party is FINISHED. That's a battle worth fighting, and no one is better qualified to lead the charge than Keyes. Period.