"The odds from history are very good that Bush will win."
If economic growth stays above 3% for the third quarter... I think Bush wins.
I think its inexplicable however that the Administration is not tapping the strategic reserve to counter the "insurgency effect" on oil prices. If Bush allows the terrorists to manipulate this election he may lose. It's unfortunate but just a fact.
I have thought the same, but I don't really know if it would do much good to tap the Strategic Reserve.