PA has tilted solid Kerry of late - Kerry is leading in the last 12 polls out of PA (though we don't need PA to win) -
With that said, OH,FL,NH,WV,AR,VA,NV and MO all still seem in play for Kerry - Which is not good -
The one State GWB looks to take from Kerry is possibly WI - and an ever bigger reach would be IA (MN,OR,WA and MI are all extreme long shots) -
Bush lost Iowa in 2000 by less than 4,000 votes. (We even pleaded for a recount.)
I think W will carry Iowa in this election.