I have been stupified by all the positiveness of many FReepers, insisting polls showing Bush trailing were proof of a Bush landslide. However, it's also silly to worry about how late it is getting. Labor Day is when people start paying attention. Wait for the PubbieCon in NYC. If he's behind after that, than start worrying.
IMO - this notion just doesn't hold true anymore - with 24hour news - People's minds and thoughts are being influenced daily - The Campaigns and 527's have already spent well over $300 million on advertising ......"premises are being set...and have been set" -
Take the economy - We are 80 days from an election and the GWB reelection has left us in the position of having to try and sell to the public that the "economy isn't that bad...and is getting better" - (this is inexcusable!!) -
We are in the 3rd year of growth - The economy has grown every qtr since the GWB tax cuts were implemented - That being the 3rd Qtr of 2001 - We are seeing growth rates not seen in over 20 years with regard to many economic indicators! - YET, the DEM's set the premise on the economy with the American public that the economy is "bad" - and from OCT 2003 until (now pretty much) we have had no coherent response on the success of the economy out of our side -
Yep. Pollsters need jobs, too.
There's a time and a season, and this is what's called "the protest vote." It's easy to get using the right question.
When it gets closer, the real numbers will show up.
Well, if it helps at all, I'm not feeling so positive. Looks like a dead heat to me. I'm living on pins and needles. Hope we get a bounce from the convnetion.
There will be no Bush landslide, regardless of what many Freepers think.
Bush will win with a comfy 300-325 Electoral Votes, but not many more.
Anyone who thinks he will do better is in fantasyland.