I'd say we have almost no chance in PA.
Kerry Favored Over Bush 47%-43% In Multi-Candidate Race; Voters With Passports Give Kerry 58%-35% Edge; Candidates in Dead Heat Among Investors; New Zogby America Poll Reveals
Massachusetts Senator John Kerry is favored over President George W. Bush (47%-43%) among likely voters when Ralph Nader, Libertarian, Constitution and Green Party presidential candidates are factored into the 2004 presidential race, according to a new Zogby America poll. The telephone poll of 1011 likely voters was conducted Thursday through Saturday (August 12-14, 2004). Overall results have a margin of sampling error of +/-3.1.
Presidential Candidates %
Aug12-14
Democrat -John Kerry
47
Republican-George W. Bush
43
Independent-Ralph Nader
2
Libertarian-Michael Badnarik
1
Constitution-Michael Peroutka
.2
Green-David Cobb
.2
Other
.8
Undecided 7
The presidential ticket of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry and North Carolina Senator John Edwards gained two points since the Democratic National convention over President George W. Bush and Vice-President Dick Cheney and now leads by seven points (50%-43%).
Presidential Ticket %
Aug12-14
July 27-29
July 6-7
Kerry-Edwards
50
48
48
Bush-Cheney
43
43
46
Undecided
6
8
5
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=851