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PENNSYLVANIA POLL: Kerry leads 4 of 5 issues over Bush
Wilkes Barre Times-Leader ^ | Sun, Aug. 15, 2004 | BRETT MARCY

Posted on 08/15/2004 1:43:18 PM PDT by Willie Green

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To: KQQL

status of Senate races as of today.

PA- Stays D



Huh?


81 posted on 08/15/2004 4:02:03 PM PDT by deport (Please Flush the Johns......)
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To: KQQL

I knew we could count on you to give us the latest disastrous poll #s.

What are you going to do about this situation?


82 posted on 08/15/2004 4:02:22 PM PDT by oblomov
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To: oblomov

lol.....


83 posted on 08/15/2004 4:03:24 PM PDT by KQQL
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To: deport

My bad.

PA stays R




status of Senate races as of today.

-----

AK - Toss up
IL- D pick up
GA- R pick up
NC - Stays D
SC- R pick up
PA- Stays R
OK- Stays R
CO- Toss UP
LA- Advantage D in a run off . Ada-vantage R in no Run off.
FL- Toss UP
SD- Toss Up to Slight leans D


84 posted on 08/15/2004 4:04:21 PM PDT by KQQL
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To: RKB-AFG

Yup, it looks like we are done in PA.


85 posted on 08/15/2004 4:21:58 PM PDT by COURAGE (A charter member of the Grim FReeper Club)
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To: Willie Green

What do you expect from a state who's baseball team has Gay Day's...... ????????


86 posted on 08/15/2004 4:45:25 PM PDT by festus (The constitution may be flawed but its a whole lot better than what we have now.)
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To: KQQL
Bottom line, Bush lost PA in 2000

2,281,127 -2,485,967

Thats 200,000 out of roughly 5 million or about 50%-46% after taking out Buchanan and Nader.

Bush will pick up more votes than he did in 2000 and Kerry will get less votes than Gore did.

Looks to me like the crooks in Philadelphia will have to work late into the night to steal this one.

Bush may lose PA again, but only because the rats will cheat.

He could very well win.

87 posted on 08/15/2004 4:50:47 PM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
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To: deport
Huh?

Unless he's thinking Specter is D. The RINO.

88 posted on 08/15/2004 4:53:16 PM PDT by demlosers
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To: KQQL

There are three things for the Republicans to consider regarding Pennsylvania.

First, it's a big and expensive state to contest. If the prospects are more favorable in Wisconsin and Iowa, and it's a long shot in Pennsylvania, you've got to focus your money where it can more good.

Second, is the possibility that New Jersey is in play. If New Jersey is in play, advertizing in the Philly market covers two battleground states. Otherwise, advertizing in the Philly market is not very efficient.

Third, if the Republicans contest Pennsylvania, the Senate race may get more partisan, and there may be fewer ticket splitters. This could put Specter's seat into play. If Pennsylvania is a long-shot, there are better prospects elsewhere, New Jersey isn't in play, why increase party awareness in this state, when Specter is trying to appeal to ticket-splitters.

Regarding your Senate predictions, I think you are forecasting a net Republican pick-up of 1 seat (i.e., +GA +SC -IL = +1), with toss-up possibilities for both sides that basically cancel out (i.e., AK, CO, FL, LA, OK and SD). This means you are forecasting a Senate that is 52-48 (let's face it, Jeffords is an IINO, "independent in name only"), not 51-49.

Notice that Bush is either competitive or favored to win in each of the six toss-up states. This means that, with any up-move by Bush nationally, the Republicans could sweep all of them.


89 posted on 08/15/2004 4:56:27 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Rome2000

Just curious why you assume W will get more votes in PA in 04 than he did in 2000?


90 posted on 08/15/2004 4:56:56 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: KQQL
I have a good record in calling racesPlease post your prediction for the Specter/Toomey race and the actual results.
91 posted on 08/15/2004 5:00:02 PM PDT by AmishDude (Tagline under construction.)
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To: Willie Green
I think this is probably true. More Americans know they will have a "job" cleaning up after a terrorist nuclear attack that will occur if Kerry is Prez. Apparently that is good enough reason to support Girlieman.
92 posted on 08/15/2004 5:05:12 PM PDT by Lockbar
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To: comebacknewt; KQQL
Actually voter turnout in Philly in 2000 was 53%, 57% in 1996 and a real crooked 72% in 1992 (when voter fraud was voter fraud).

I see W getting more votes than in 2000 for the simple reason that a lot of Gore voters will vote GOP this time around because Kerry is a loser in the WOT, while W has done nothing in his term that would cause him to lose the support of the 2.28 million that voted for him in 2000.

The number to watch is how many undecided voters that went with Gore last time will go with W this time.

93 posted on 08/15/2004 5:07:14 PM PDT by Rome2000 (The ENEMY for Kerry!!!!!)
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To: COEXERJ145; KQQL
Where is Courage? Is he banned?

Do not worry KQQL will hold the fort for posting the doom and gloom polls.

Did you notice that KQQL thinks so much of himself. He is telling us that he has a good record of calling races.

94 posted on 08/15/2004 5:26:55 PM PDT by jveritas
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To: Willie Green

Both campaigns acknowledge the economy is a top issue for Pennsylvania voters.

It will be the top issue across the country. We're sick of losing our livable wage jobs. We're sick of low paying replacement jobs. We're sick of illegal cheap labor that we have to subsidize. We're sick of legal cheap labor imported to take the few decent pay jobs that remain.

I'll be voting Third Party for President. I'll be voting for only two of my Republican reps in the election...they actually get it. The rest will be third party candidates.

No more, Jorge. No more. It's time we held them accountable and remind them they work for us, not business lobbies.


95 posted on 08/15/2004 5:30:31 PM PDT by ETERNAL WARMING (He is faithful!)
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To: Willie Green

"I think these numbers indicate a lot of public discomfort

Discomfort? It that what they call it when they destroy lives?

JOBS for AMERICANS will be the number 1 issue across the country no matter how they try to spin it. Livable wage JOBS.


96 posted on 08/15/2004 5:44:01 PM PDT by ETERNAL WARMING (He is faithful!)
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To: OneTimeLurker

Hazleton hates Bush.


97 posted on 08/15/2004 5:45:12 PM PDT by angcat (Medicate me please!)
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To: NetValue

today I noted while out shopping that the Maryland malls' parking lots were absolutely FULL. People spending their money means the economy is going just fine.

Yep. It's called the back to school spike. Remember that? The haves have alot more, also. Here in Vegas even WalMart and Target are suffering while the top end stores are doing fine. I assure you it isn't because all of us have become rich in the Bush economy.


98 posted on 08/15/2004 5:48:08 PM PDT by ETERNAL WARMING (He is faithful!)
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To: Willie Green
The Massachusetts Democrat holds an 11-point lead over Bush on the economy, 51 to 40 percent.

Brain dead spoiled Americans think we have hard times
99 posted on 08/15/2004 5:59:13 PM PDT by uncbob
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To: DrDeb; Owl_Eagle; brityank; Physicist; WhyisaTexasgirlinPA; GOPJ; abner; baseballmom; ...
a dated (conducted over a week ago) ONE DAY quickie poll of REGISTERED VOTERS with a MOE of 4.1% -- BEYOND BOGUS!!!!

yup and ping

100 posted on 08/15/2004 6:01:36 PM PDT by Tribune7
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