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To: olde north church
A special election IS NOT in the interests of those who wish to see a conservative in the governor's mansion. If there's a special this November, the "party elders" (insert Sopranos joke here) get to pick the candidates for each side.

Let's assume it's Corzine for the Dems. Now, who will a bunch of corrupt, left-leaning, establishment, pay-to-play GOP insiders select? A conservative? Ha, not a chance (barring a real Chris Christie groundswell, of which I see no sign). They'll select a RINO like Tommy Kean I or Tommy Kean II, or, perhaps, Bob Franks. Can ya feel the grassroots excitement? Didn't think so.

So, we would be looking at a Corzine vs. Selected RINO race this fall. Corzine, untainted by Trenton slime, would be able to deftly co-opt the outsider mantle, thus stealing the RINO's only issue. Lord knows a Franks or Kean (or Allen, or Whitman) would never run on anything bold like fundamental tax reform. Outcome: Corzine as governor.

Then we are looking at a nightmare scenario in November '06, an incumbent billionaire who's not (that) corrupt, (mostly) backed by the Dem establishment, and rather popular facing the survivor of a multi-candidate GOP primary. The GOP candidate in the general would probably be Bret Schundler since he can deliver a solid 30%-40% conservative base in a primary. But the GOP establishment would cut his b---s off yet again and Corzine would coast to a fresh four year term in 2006.

The only way to get a conservative in there is to let Codey have the job for the next 14 months and hope he gets ambitious enough to want it for 4 more years. This would make Corzine choose between a bloody primary battle, or sitting it out and staying in DC. Then, Schundler could run against a candidate tainted by the Trenton morass and pull out a victory. Let's face it, NJ is a very Democratic state and The Right was dealt a blow with SLAMHOLE's resignation on Thursday 'cause he would've been the easiest Dem. to beat. Now, it's a whole lot tougher and the only way I can see a conservative winning is by using the corruption issue against a Trenton Dem. in 2006.

A Kean-esque GOP liberal could win a special election this year, but how that would advance the ball for the cause of smaller, cleaner government in NJ is beyond me.

13 posted on 08/15/2004 5:21:32 PM PDT by BroncosFan (NJ 2005: Schundler for Governor)
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To: BroncosFan
If there's a special this November, the "party elders" (insert Sopranos joke here) get to pick the candidates for each side.

Absolutely incorrect.

If there is a special election, there will be primaries in both parties.

Schundler is ready.

17 posted on 08/15/2004 5:36:04 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: BroncosFan; All
There's something I just don't like about Schundler. That's not to say I like the NJ GOP party hacks either. I think it's time for the "un-Menendez", Catholic, Italian/Hispanic, Pro-Life, Second Amendment undiscovered candidate. He or she is out there. Would pull in the South Jersey Conservative anti-Republican establishment vote, blue-collar Central Jersey conservative and the Northern Hispanic Vote.
18 posted on 08/15/2004 5:37:25 PM PDT by olde north church (That loud sucking sound is the sound of Jim McGreevey leaving Trenton!)
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