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To: Howlin
What do you mean they do not reflect a degree of uncertainty? Each alert is issued with a strike probability, is that what you're talking about?

I'm saying the pretty little diagram that the projections were distilled into showed no possibility of a hit on the Fort Meyers area.

99 posted on 08/15/2004 3:18:25 AM PDT by The Duke
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To: The Duke
Ft Myers Strike Probabilities

Thurs 5:00PM 42%
Thurs 11:00PM 47%
Fri 8:00AM 50%
Fri 11:00AM 86%

In all cases, the strike probabilities were close, yet slightly greater than Tampa strike probabilities.

Source: NHC Strike Probabilities Archives

100 posted on 08/15/2004 5:53:02 AM PDT by NautiNurse ("I served in Viet Nam, and we have better hair"----John F'n Kerry campaign platform)
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