Computer models can't predict what a huricane will do 2 hours from now but they can predict the climate of the whole earth two decades from now. It's freeking magic.
... in a time of sadness, your humor speaks the sarcasm of truth. Amen.
Beat me by what, 5 minutes? The gloom and doomers would say that they can predict overall trends, but I still agree that if they can't predict a few thoudsand square miles' weather a day or two ahead, how can they predict the planet 50 years out?
BTW, my mother-in-law has a winter place close to Ft. Myers. She thinks it's OK, I think she's in denial. We'll find out in a day or two.
I've been saying the same thing for years! I'm gonna believe a weather forecaster who misses the forecast for a line of thunderstorms when it comes to a HURRICANE? And DAYS away??
Hurricanes veer away at the last hour. Betsy did it- it wasn't supposed to affect N.O., and I was in school at the time. We were sent home without explanation- it hit that night.
Camille WAS coming for New Orleans and ended up making a slight detour that took it to the Mississipi Gulf coast, right past the LA state line. Andrew was coming right for N.O- we were told we were doomed, almost everyone evacuated. It ended up in Western Louisiana, then veered inland and we were caught in Jackson Mississipi .
When hurricanes are close to the coast, half of their convection is already inland. They are fickle beasts, and a deviation of only a few miles can make a world of difference.