You say he is, I say he's not. I'd count on him picking up a couple of them.
Thanks to whoever pinged me.
_________________________________________________
"I'd count on him picking up a couple of them.
___________________________________________________
This article is a more reasonable analysis than I have seen elsewhere.
It is odd there was no bump in national polls, but maybe one in the state by state polls? I wonder if the same thing will happen post convention.
My personal opinion is that Bush will win Missouri and Florida. Ohio is the wild card this time for me. I don't know what to think about N.H. that all the time we hear the GOP will lose, but often the GOP wins in presidential elections.
I further believe that Ohio could be made up with Wisconsin, Iowa and New Mexico. Ohio is apparently worse for the GOP this year because of a GOP Governor who is making enemies?
Finally, Dales' site has 96 electoral votes within the margin of error. This fits the analysis in this article.