It took a little southward jog to avoid Jamaica, and now it looks like it will cross Cuba at its narrowest point. Might knock 20-30 mph off its winds, which it could regenerate within half a day.
Yup, any weakening over Cuba would be easy to regenerate. That area of (bath)water is one of the best for quick explosions in strength. I still can't believe a hurricane is going to take this track (into the west coast of FL) in August... The East Coast Trough is reminiscent of an Autumn setup.
An interesting analog (though this track will likely be to the right of the 1896 storm):
Big time thunder and lightning and rain here right now; coming at you.