Does anyone have a direct link to this Fabrizio press release?
This page
http://www.fabmac.com/releases.html
has a direct link to the document
http://www.fabmac.com/FMA-2004-08-11-Swift-Boat.pdf
which is a pdf, so you have to have adobe pdf doc reader installed. You can get it at adobe.
The specifics are interesting:
“Recently, have you seen, read or heard anything about a TV ad being aired by a group of Vietnam Veterans who question the truthfulness of Sen. John Kerry’s Vietnam War record?”
Overall / 2 Way Undecided / 3 Way Undecided
Yes 57.6% 48.5% 38.3%
No 35.4 42.1 45.1
DK/Refused 7.0 9.4 16.6
ASKED ONLY OF THOSE AWARE: “And did what you saw, read or heard make you MORE likely or LESS likely to vote for John Kerry for President? If it didn’t impact how you would vote, just say so.”
Overall / 2 Way Undecided / 3 Way Undecided
More Likely 19.4% 10.9% 9.5%
No Impact 50.8 51.1 56.2
Less Likely 27.1 29.9 24.1
DK/Refused 2.7 8.0 10.3
Net +/- -7.7% -19.0% -14.6%
Since undecided voters are going to be so critical in this close race, it is HUGE that among undecided voters 20 percentage points more said it was negative than positive. If this stays in the news and a large percentage of undecided voters end up seeing this, it could easily determine the election. 20% of the 10% undecideds would be 2%, a massive impact. And again, this polling was done in the 19 closest states.
Who knows? Since this was a Republican polling firm, if it gets back to W that this story is a positive for him, maybe he will be more supportive, or at least not negative. He knows it would make him look bad if he was too aggressive promoting it, but it may prevent him from repudiating it.
Go swifties!