Moore won the 2002 election by about 7,000 votes or 3%. Has there been any change in his public popularity since?
The man he defeated is Adam Taff, a moderate Republican who did not run a good campaign, especially since he really had no grass root support. I think Moore outspent him doubly (doubly?), but don't hold me to that. It will be different this time. The third district of Kansas is my old district (and will be my new one this Sunday, Go KU Jayhawks!) and I remember having a mock vote during the 92 presidential campaign. Trust me, I went to one of the poorest and diverse in the state, and, in that election, Bush was the landslide winner, followed by Perot in a distant second with Clinton finishing last. So, there's definitely a lot of conservatives in my old (new) district.
No. Moore wins by attracting a coalition of Democrats, Independents, and moderate Republicans. Kobach has his work cut out for him.
Most likely the KS Rinos in the the 3rd district will vote for Moore.