[dmc8576]

I think you're right about WV. Cultural issues will put Bush over the top there. I am more worried about Nevada. I don't know how much the media overplays the whole Yucca Mountain Nuclear Waste Site issue. That could potentially bring Bush down, or so the media says. But who knows?

I am getting more and more confident about Ohio and Florida each day. I really think Bush will hold onto those states. I think NH is lost, but Wisconsin is a potential pickup. Other than that, I think the states should stay the way they were in 2000.

Bush just needs to take care of WV or Nevada (preferably both). If he loses both states, I think he loses the election. If he wins 1, he will probably win. And if he wins both, I am confident he will get reelected.

[LandOfLincolnGOP]

I am getting more and more confident about Ohio and Florida each day.

I wish I could share your confidence. The latest Florida poll internals do not look good for W at all. I'm thinking about voting absentee at home and going down there to do GOTV work.