To: ambrose
There is no information about how the poll was weighted. The polls are meaninngless without that information.
13 posted on
08/02/2004 12:44:04 PM PDT by
Eva
To: Eva
Registered Voters polls aren't weighted... the only issue is how well do they select for a representative sampling of the country.
21 posted on
08/02/2004 12:49:00 PM PDT by
dangus
To: Eva; Bonaventure; KC_Conspirator; gilliam; ambrose; NormsRevenge; Nakatu X; mlbford2; demlosers; ...
Originally posted by Eva:
"There is no information about how the poll was weighted. The polls are meaninngless without that information."
Here is the political affiliation breakdowns for the current and previous American Research Group three-way polls...
Actual ARG Poll Results |
|
Republicans |
Democrats |
Independents |
N= |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Other |
All polls Registered Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jun 29-July 1, 2004 |
|
29.7% |
30.2% |
40.1% |
773 |
44.0% |
47.0% |
3.0% |
6.0% |
July 30-August 1, 2004 |
|
33.0% |
34.5% |
32.5% |
776 |
45.0% |
49.0% |
2.0% |
4.0% |
For comparison here are the Newsweek/PSRAI political affiliation breakdowns for the last four presidential three-way polls.
Actual Newsweek Poll Results |
|
Republicans |
Democrats |
Independents |
N= |
Bush |
Kerry |
Nader |
Other |
All polls Registered Voters |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
March 18-19, 2004 |
|
35.3% |
33.4% |
31.3% |
838 |
45.47% |
43.44% |
5.49% |
5.60% |
May 13-14, 2004 |
|
30.8% |
34.7% |
34.5% |
832 |
42.43% |
43.39% |
5.41% |
8.77% |
July 8-9, 2004 |
|
28.5% |
27.5% |
44.1% |
1,001 |
43.56% |
47.45% |
3.40% |
5.59% |
July 29-30, 2004 |
|
28.9% |
37.1% |
34.0% |
1,010 |
42.28% |
49.01% |
3.07% |
5.64% |
dvwjr
44 posted on
08/02/2004 5:30:16 PM PDT by
dvwjr
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