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To: Marfoe
What is this? The day after the dem convention - no bounce. Yesterday, Newsweek has a 4 point bounce. I just saw an article posted saying CNN has a "negative" bounce. And now, you post a 7 point bounce.

Which is it? I personally think the pollsters are trying their darndest to give him a bounce, whether there actually was one or not.

18 posted on 08/01/2004 10:33:02 AM PDT by LibertarianLiz
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To: LibertarianLiz
It says minus 7. There just happen to be about 6 threads on the same thing right now.
23 posted on 08/01/2004 10:34:51 AM PDT by GiveEmDubya (John²: Two Hairdos. One Agenda. No Idea.)
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To: LibertarianLiz

Read the initial post. It is a 7 point negative bounce, just as posted in the article. The title was sarcastic.


24 posted on 08/01/2004 10:36:17 AM PDT by rocklobster11
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To: LibertarianLiz

Read the initial post. It is a 7 point negative bounce, just as posted in the article. The title was sarcastic.


25 posted on 08/01/2004 10:36:24 AM PDT by rocklobster11
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To: LibertarianLiz
If you look at the internals of the Newsweek poll, Kerry went from +19 (53-34) to +6 (45-39) among Independents, so they reweighted the new poll to have 10% fewer Independents and 10% more Democrats in order to show a 2.84% Kerry bounce (4 points after rounding).

Or else 10% of the electorate was so impressed by the Convention that they changed their affiliation from Independent to Democrat.

Hey, it could happen....

33 posted on 08/01/2004 10:38:45 AM PDT by VeritatisSplendor
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To: LibertarianLiz

The Newsweek polled "adults of voting age" whereas Gallup polled registered and likely voters. This could get even better next week as the conventional wisdom is that Republicans are often not available for weekend polls.


42 posted on 08/01/2004 10:40:49 AM PDT by daisyscarlett
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To: LibertarianLiz

"What is this? The day after the dem convention - no bounce. Yesterday, Newsweek has a 4 point bounce. I just saw an article posted saying CNN has a "negative" bounce. And now, you post a 7 point bounce." If CNN is saying it is a negative bounce.....then it is worse. A nightmare for the Demos!
I worked the Republican booth at a county fair last week.
Lots of action from Pro-Bushers. The few Demos that came by only expressed hatred of Bush, but not one could say anything positive about Kerry. I suspect the Demo "faithful" just will not vote. (Fine by me!)


82 posted on 08/01/2004 10:58:48 AM PDT by Winfield
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To: LibertarianLiz

For the MSM, talking about Kerry's negative bounce is preferable to mention of the fact that he's refusing to disclose his RAISE YOUR TAXES economic plan before he's elected. The former can be pooh poohed as snapshot statistics, and you'd get different numbers tomorrow. But the latter would have RATS dialing for a mortician.


129 posted on 08/01/2004 11:44:41 AM PDT by hershey (, WH)
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To: LibertarianLiz
thats a

-7

bounce....I misread it, too
188 posted on 08/01/2004 3:46:40 PM PDT by The Wizard (DemonRATS: enemies of America)
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