Some polls show no bounce. Of course their explanation is "there are so few undecideds that this is the best it COULD be".
I wonder what they'll say if GW Bush comes out of the Republican convention with a + 8 to 10 point bounce.
It is not that there are large numbers of undecideds who as a result of a convention that make for a bounce, it is centrist decideds that change their opinioins that make for a bounce.
The polling question is, "If the election were to be held today whom would you vote for?" There are not ever a large number of undecideds to that question.
And they are kind of right......though despite few undecideds, there should still be a small 3-5 pt. bounce.
A negative 7 bounce is not due to undecideds. It is due to people being turned off by Kerry.
On its surface, that sounds plausible. But for a lot of people who've decided for Kerry, their support for him is very shallow and tepid. President Bush should find these people, along with the undecideds, ripe for the picking.