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Thanks! And I looked up the convention bounces of the only three presidential candidates in modern times to beat out an incumbent. Here they are:

Clinton (1992) - 30 points
Reagan (1980) - 13 points
Carter (1976) - 16 points

While this is not cause to get over-confident, it does essentially make the race Bush's to lose in my humble opinion. I do not think there is much enthusiasm for Kerry out there. People who support him tend to be anti-Bush rather than pro-Kerry. Kerry has had his chance to win converts and he hasn't come through. On the other hand, Bush still has a chance to bring a lot of people back over into his camp. I think he will, especially when people are made to realize that John Kerry has the most liberal voting record (when he does vote) of any senator in the country. Even more liberal than Hillary or Ted Kennedy!

So Kerry may have inherited the anti-Bush vote but that is not the stuff of winning campaigns. Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan were also hated by the Left and they both rolled to re-election in 1972 and 1984.