At the time of the 2000 election, 31 delegations had Republican majorities.
Since the Senate would pick the VP in this situation, if the Dems take over the Senate in '04, we could have a Bush/Edwards White House.
In New England, Kerry would win Maine, Vermont, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island. Bush would win New Hampshire and Connecticut. 4-2 for Kerry.
In the Mid-Atlantic, Kery would win New York, New Jersey, and Maryland. Bush would win Pennsylvania and Delaware. 3-2 for Kerry
In the Midwest, Bush would win Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan, Missouri, and Iowa. The two candidates would be in a tie in Wisconsin and Minnesota. 5-2 for Bush.
In the South, Bush would win Kentucky, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana. Kerry would win Tennessee and Arkansas. 9-2 for Bush.
In the West, Bush would win Texas (likely), Oklahoma, Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, Colorado, Idaho, Wyoming, and Montana. Kerry would win North and South Dakota. 12-2 for Bush.
In the Pacific West, Kerry would win California, Oregon, Washington, Hawaii. Bush would in Alaska. 4-1 for Kerry.
So, add it up. 31 delegations for Bush. 17 for Kerry. 2 would be tied. Obviously a couple states might switch depending on what some RINOs and DINOs would do. Most likely Connecticut and Tennessee.
(I did this off the top of my head. Any mistakes are mine, and I apologize in advance.)
Thank our Lord we are not a true Democracy.
Here is the 269-269 scenario:
Bush: Tx, Ok, La, Ms,Al,Ga,Fl,SC,NC,Tn,Va,Ky, Oh, In, Mo, Ar, Ks, Ne, SD, ND, Co, Wy, Mt, ID,Ut, Nv, Az, Ak.
F'in: the rest plus DC.
The Pres would be elected by the new House--each state alowed one vote. Assuming the state balances stay the same: 30 states Republican controlled; 15 states dem controlled; 4 states split; Vermont has one rep--an independent. The new Senate would select the new VP.
30 State Delegations - Republican 15 State Delegations - Democrat 1 State Delegation - Socialist (would vote for Democrat) 4 State Delegations - Tied between Republican and Democrat
These are the current numbers for the 108th Congress, but it will be the newly elected 109th Congress which would elect the President if the job fell in their laps...
The 'tied' States are Minnesota, Mississippi, Texas and Wisconsin. Texas is currently tied at 16-16, but by the 109th Congress which is seated in January of 2005, the Republicans should have at least 31 State Delegations since the Texas re-districting will finally have more Republicans than Democrats representing Texas. These numbers in the House of Representatives will take care of any potential business that the Electoral College would throw their way for the selection of President, which means that Bush would be re-elected.
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